Thursday, October 18, 2012

M & M's NFL Pickz Week 7 - Thursday Edition

By Marley Burr (@MarleyBurr), Mitch Sandberg & Alex Cohen-Smith

Week 6 was a rough week for everyone involved. It was also the first time this season that all three experts were in the red, finishing for a combined 14-28. Needless to say expectations are high this week as we bring in a personal friend of ours, Alex Cohen-Smith, to be our guest of the week for Week 7. I'm sure he will fit in perfectly and bring the GOTW's percentages back up to its rightful place. Right now Marley is in the lead with a record of 42-46-3 and looks to build on it this week. Let's get started!


Current Standings:


Week
Marley
Mitch
Guest
Guest Name
1
8-8
5-11
8-8
-
2
5-9-2
5-9-2
7-7-2
Danny Klau
3
6-9-1
6-9-1
6-9-1
Chris Krukowski
4
9-6
9-6
8-7
Nick Perez
5
9-5
6-8
8-6
Adam Maher
6
5-9
5-9
4-10
Jason Klau
7
0-0
0-0
0-0
Alex Cohen-Smith
Total
42-46-3
36-52-3
41-47-3


Week 6 Player of the Week:



Shonn Greene steamrolled the Colts for his first player of the week award. He finished the game with a dominating 161 yards and 3 touchdowns to give the Jets a much needed win at home.

Week 7 Spreads:

Home
Away
Spread
Total
San Francisco
49ers
Seattle
Seahawks
Original Line   49ers                              -7
Current Line      -7.5
42.5
Buffalo
Bills
Tennessee
Titans
Original Line   Bills                               -3
Current Line      -3
44
Minnesota
Vikings
Arizona
Cardinals
Original Line   Vikings                        -5.5 
Current Line      -6 
42.5
Indianapolis
Colts
Cleveland
Browns
Original Line   Colts                              -3
Current Line      -1
40
Carolina
Panthers
Dallas
Cowboys
Original Line   Cowboys                       -1
Current Line      -1
48.5
New York
Giants
Washington
Redskins
Original Line    Giants                           -7
Current Line      -5.5
44
Tampa Bay
Buccaneers
New Orleans
Saints
Original Line    Saints                           -3 
Current Line      -1
48
New England
Patriots
New York
Jets
Original Line    Patriots                       -11
Current Line      -10.5 
37.5
Oakland
Raiders
Jacksonville
Jaguars
Original Line    Raiders                         -4
Current Line      -4
45
Houston
Texans
Baltimore
Ravens
Original Line   Texans                           -4
Current Line      -7
43
St. Louis
Rams
Green Bay
Packers
Original Line    Packers                      -5.5
Current Line      -5.5  
--
Cincinnati
Bengals
Pittsburgh
Steelers
Original Line   Steelers                        -1  
Current Line      -1   
48
Chicago
Bears
Detroit
Lions
Original Line    Bears                         -5.5
Current Line      -6.5 
--


Seattle Seahawks @ San Francisco 49ers

Marley: 49ers -7.5
Mitch: 49ers -7.5 
Alex: Seahawks +7.5

Marley: San Francisco had a very large blue wake-up call this last weekend against the New York Giants that nobody except for Giants fans saw coming. Not only did it drop San Francisco from being one of the top two teams in many power rankings, but it brought back many of the old questions that people had about Alex Smith as a competent quarterback and the 49ers style of play. It exposed a big problem area for the 49ers which is what happens when their "dominant" defense is not so dominant? When the 49ers are forced to play from behind and Alex Smith is forced to throw the ball and there is pressure to drive down the field, that’s when it becomes apparent how much of a "game manager" QB Smith really is. 

The good news is that the 49ers rarely will drop a game like this and they get to recover with a home game against a team that does not have a potent offense to begin with in the Seahawks (24th in total offense). The 49ers are still one of the best teams in the league but they need to make sure that games do not run away from them like they did on Sunday.


Alex Smith certainly felt the pressure against the New York Football Giants last Sunday. He finished the game with exactly 200 yards passing and 3 interceptions. He will need to do better than that against a defense like the Seattle Seahawks.

The Seattle Seahawks defense is the real deal. Now, nobody is going to be super impressed when you allow 24 points, but when you do it against Tom Brady and the Patriots, plus hold them in the fourth quarter allowing your team to come back, that’s when you will get talked about. 

Seattle lives and dies by its defense. What I think is most impressive about Seattle is their tackling (also, they're 3rd in the league in rush defense). They do not allow you to get YAC which is huge. Not to mention that the offense isn’t that horrible either. Russel Wilson actually looks pretty good and people need to remember that he's a rookie and is still developing relationships with his receivers and offense. Russel Wilson is not going to be able to pull off a huge comeback win every week. He can get the points he needs to put some on the board but the defense is the rock of this team.




Seahawks defense honored Tom Brady´s wishes by finding him after the game to rub the salt of defeat into his wounds a little bit more.

This game really comes down to two big defenses. You're going to see either a really tight low scoring game, or a dominant performance by the 49ers like they had against the Jets and Bills. I'm sorry Seattle but the 49ers are still one of the best teams in this league and even though Alex Smith is not that great of a QB he still has a much better offense around him then the rookie Wilson does. Be it by one point or 30, the 49ers are not wont to be dropping two in a row at home. 

Tune in Saturday for the rest of M&Ms NFL Pickz!

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