Thursday, October 25, 2012

M & M's NFL Pickz Week 8 - Monday Edition

By Marley Burr (@MarleyBurr), Mitch Sandberg & Takeshi Okoshi

Week 8 is upon us and I for one am amazed at how fast this season has gone. It has been absolutely incredible, the speed of this season and the amazing things we have seen so far. Last week was a little bit of a slow week with six teams on BYE weeks and I'm sure a lot of fantasy teams were affected by the lack of players involved in the games. This week we have one of my best friends from UVM, a gentleman and a scholar, Takeshi Okoshi. Let's get the action started!

Current Standings:

Week
Marley
Mitch
Guest
Guest Name
1
8-8
5-11
8-8
-
2
5-9-2
5-9-2
7-7-2
Danny Klau
3
6-9-1
6-9-1
6-9-1
Chris Krukowski
4
9-6
9-6
8-7
Nick Perez
5
9-5
6-8
8-6
Adam Maher
6
5-9
5-9
4-10
Jason Klau
7
6-6-1
5-7-1
8-4-1
Alex Cohen-Smith
Total
0-0
0-0
0-0
Takeshi Okoshi
Total
42-46-4
36-52-4
41-47-4


Week 7 Player of the week:


Chris Johnson has been very disappointing so far this year. He responded to his critics by running all over the Buffalo Bills, finishing the game with 195 yards and 2 touchdowns. He has another favorable matchup this week at home against the Colt and, hopefully he can do it again.


Home
Away
Favorite and Current Spread
Original Line
Minnesota
Vikings
Tampa Bay
Buccaneers
Minnesota Vikings
-6.5
  -6.5
Cleveland
Browns
San Diego
Chargers
San Diego Chargers
-1
 -3
Chicago
Bears
Carolina
Panthers
Chicago Bears
-9
 -8
Detroit
Lions
Seattle
Seahawks
Detroit Lions
-1
-3
Green Bay
Packers
Jacksonville
Jaguars
Green Bay Packers
-16
-13
Tennessee
Titans
Indianapolis
Colts
Tennessee Titans
-3.5
-3.5
New York
Jets
Miami
Dolphins
New York Jets
-1
-1
St. Louis
Rams
New England
Patriots
New England Patriots
-7
-7
Pittsburgh
Steelers
Washington
Redskins
Pittsburgh Steelers
-4.5
-5
Philadelphia
Eagles
Atlanta
Falcons
Philadelphia Eagles
-1
-1
Kansas City
Chiefs
Oakland
Raiders
Kansas City Chiefs
-1
-1
Dallas
Cowboys
New York
Giants
New York Giants
-1
-1
Denver
Broncos
New Orleans
Saints
Denver Broncos
-6
-6
Arizona
Cardinals
San Francisco
49ers
San Francisco 49ers
-7
-7

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Minnesota Vikings

Marley: Buccaneers +6.5
Mitch: Vikings -6.5
Tak: Vikings -6.5

Marley: The Minnesota Vikings have surprised everyone this year with their Rookie QB Christian Ponder really bringing this team's offense together and being as successful as they have been. However, the last couple weeks have been tough for Christian Ponder as he has thrown two interceptions in each of his last two games. Lucky for Ponder, when he is struggling he can fall back on Adrian Peterson to help him keep the defense honest and open up a few passing lanes. Peterson has been getting better and stronger every week and seems to have fully thrown off the cobwebs from his off-season surgery. The Vikings have the seventh-best rush attack in the league, averaging around 132 yards per game. But a big reason that the Vikings are sitting where they are is because of their strong defense that has allowed the sixth-fewest points (18.7) and ninth-fewest yards (319.7) per game this season. With a tough second half schedule the Vikings needs to win games like this one in order to create some possible breathing room down the line.  


You cant stop him, you can only hope to contain him. A healthy Adrian Peterson in 2012 spells danger for anyone playing against the Vikings this year. With a Adrian Peterson, a strong defense and a talented Rookie QB at the helm, the Vikings could make some noise this year...

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have by most standards been a big disappointment in 2012. They were what many considered to be a great football team coming into this season especially with the changes they made in the offseason and the raw talent that they have assembled on their team. But things are on the come up for the Bucs. Quarterback Josh Freeman was struggling this year however lately has been playing much better. The last two weeks he has thrown for 328 and 420 yards respectively, and has developed a connection with their big offseason pickup Vincent Jackson. While the offense is coming around it is the defense that has been hurting them so far this season. The Bucs have a third ranked run defense which has been shutting down opposing running backs however, they rank 31st in pass defense and have been giving up a lot of points in the air attack. The Bucs have the Saints close on their heels in the division and a win this week would bring them closer to .500 and provide a much needed boost in moral for this team.  


Last week's Saints game literally came down to the wire as Mike Williams caught a would-be game tying touchdown pass as time expired. Unfortunately before he caught the pass he was pushed out of the bounds while Freeman was scrambling outside of the pocket. The NFL Rule Book dictates that when a receiver is pushed out of bounds he can only come back in and legally become a receiver again if the quarterback is still in the pocket. This technicality cost the Buccaneers a chance at overtime.

These two teams look pretty even to me, they are both extremely talented teams that have the ability to put up good numbers. For the Vikings, homefield advantage could prove to be a large factor, especially as this is the first Thursday night game for the Vikings since the 2010 season opener. They are 4-0 this year at home and are looking to keep the undefeated streak going. I do really like the Vikings defense which has already shut down the likes of Maurice Jones-Drew, Frank Gore, Calvin Johnson, Chris Johnson and Larry Fitzgerald this year. The key to the game for the Vikings is that they need to continue to let Peterson try to run against this Bucs run defense and keep the defense honest. Ponder is still a rookie and the last couple weeks have been rough, he needs to incorporate his other receivers if he wants to win this game, especially the likes of Kyle Rudolph who was held without a single catch last week. The Bucs need to do the opposite obviously, they need to stuff Peterson and not allow him to get any big runs, forcing Ponder to the throw the ball a lot. Also, they need to spread the ball around as the Vikings defense is surely going to focus on shutting down Jackson. I think this is going to be a great game and is going to be closer than people think. I like how the Bucs have been playing recently but I think that the Vikings are going to manage to edge them out in the end. The Bucs should be able to cover the spread though, I'll take them and the points. Bucs +6.5.

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